The Numerical Truth About Ice Caps, Global Warming, And The Empty Threat Of Floods

I am starting to get quite upset at the fear factor card being played by environmentalistas and their ilk who think that the polar caps melting will cause flooding and devastation across the globe. So I am going to take a second and tell you a story my dad told me as a kid.

In the Greek city of Syracuse, a couple of thousand years ago, the king was having a problem with goldsmiths pilfering his gold by substituting lead in with the gold when it was melted down. Once it was reformed, it was difficult for the king to know if he was getting ripped by the goldsmiths.

So he asked his chief scientist, Archimides to figure out a way to catch them if they did substitute something in. Archimides was befuddled with the idea until one day, while dipping himself in the tub for a bath, he noted the displacement of the water. In this bathtub the concept of density was born. Archimidis, in his excitement at solving the problem for the king, jumped out of the tub, and streaked down the streets of Syracuse screaming “Evreka!, Evreka!!” or “I’ve found it!!, I’ve found it!!”

Density is how much mass something has with respect to the volume it takes up. Regular tap water has a density of 1000 kg/m3 . (A nice round number that happens to be that way because of the beauty of the metric system). But other substances, such as gold are much higher, whereas, oil is quite a bit lower explaining is why it floats.

Let’s apply Archimides discovery of density to icebergs. (Because after all, the north polar cap is just a giant iceberg)

First let me explain to you what happens when liquid water is cooled enough to form ice. The temperature drops and as water begins to freeze, it expands. This is because the density of ice is about 920 kg/m3, and that of sea water is 1025 kg/m3.

So what does this mean? It means the ice is less dense than it used to be as water. With this density decrease, the ice begins to float, because in a way, it is lighter than sea water. The ratio of ice that is “pushed” above water is about 10% of the mass of ice. This concept is best understood if you do not think in terms of ice floating, but instead, think in terms of the ice below sealevel being lighter than the surrounding water enough to lift about 10% of it’s mass above water. The mass in this case is the top of the iceberg but could be anything, such as ohhhhh, an expedition heading to the north pole or a harp seal waiting to become a nice jacket.

If you were to put a weight equivalent to this 10% on top of an iceberg, the iceberg would sink until it’s top point was just covered by water. In this case, that density decrease WOULD displace more water and raise the sea level. But in reality there is no weight to push icebergs underwater. There is only Archimides and the math behind density. And density says that they can freeze or melt all they want. If they do it while floating in the oceans they will not affect sea level.

That’s the Officially Screwed math lesson for the day. Now if you want to amaze your friends, take a clear glass jug, fill it about 2/3rds full of cold water, and toss in as much ice as you like so long as none touches the bottom of the jug. Then mark the waterlevel and wait for the ice to melt. The ice that floats up above the waterline will have no effect on where the water level is when it melts. You should note that the water level is exactly where you marked it.

Go and amaze your lefty friends with what they will consider a parlour trick, but you can rest assured is simple science that is over 2000 years old.

Nepean-Carleton Provincial By-Election

The Nepean-Carleton MPP post left vacant by John Baird when he moved to the Federal scene will be contested on March 30th, 2006. The Progressive Conservatives have put up a strong candidate in Lisa Macleod, but she will get a good run from ex-police chief Brian Ford.

I had the opportunity to attend the debate in Stittsville last week and thought that Lisa and Brian both did very well in the debate, as did the Freedom party representative, Jurgen Vollrath, who seems to have a fairly conservative agenda. I also got my second opportunity to see John Turmel, whom is running in his 61st election. He is 0 for 60 so far. I give him credit. He knows how to work a room. He had everyone in stitches with his new math personal bond theories.

The NDP have tossed perennial candidate, Laurel Gibbons into the ring. (Way to get some usage out of those signs Laurel!!) Peter Tretter of the Green Party had his Green Party Policy handbook ready and towed his partys line properly.

For those of you in this riding, get out and vote. I have added the date to our calendar.

Another Young Medallist In Our Household

Yesterday was the gruelling two and a half hour soccer marathon that ends the year of T-bone’s indoor soccer season.

The format was a mini round robin of three 25 minute games, one against each of the other teams in their league. After two wins and a tie his team faced off against the other finalist in a full hour long game.

I must say that I do enjoy watching the indoor winter league more than the summer leagues. The pace in the final game was very quick as the two teams knew what was on the line. But in the end T-bone and his teammates were victorious.

He is sporting a shiny gold medal today.

I think the only downside to the day was that he only got to play about 30 minutes out of the 125 minutes of game time through the competition. The average time played was about 70 minutes on his team. With the league being just a small four team houseleague and not a “Competitive” level, I would have hoped he had more playing time, even if it meant they didn’t get the gold.

But the disappointment in playing time didn’t down us or how well he played when he did get on. I’m still very proud of him. In the third preliminary game he had a couple of great breaks up the field dekeing a player on each. Both runs were started with nice defensive plays and one ended up with a nice push forward to a winger and the other in a shot that was just shy of the mark.

First A Beatle, Then The Walrus, And Now Just A Whipped Dork

You know….sometimes it just doesn’t befit someone to call them an idiot or a fool or unmanly or under the sexual thumb of his wife, or boyish in the brain and not the looks but these days all those would be fitting. I much prefer to just call Paul a dork. It’s simple to the point and effective.

Knowing Apple records history for lawsuits I will probably get sued for this post but I’m sick of stars coming in and using their clout to start a protest against something they know little about. The McCartney’s are getting up in the face of East Coast Canadian seal hunters who started the annual seal hunt today. They released a new video calling for the boycott of Canadian seafood. (We all know how the boycott is just so huge, don’t we?). Little do they know the seal population has tripled in the last 25 or so years. How many fish do you think seals eat? You can’t just jump in and cut off the cycle of hunting or the battle for fish will affect the populations of numerous other species when the seals eat up all the stock.
A note to Miss McCartney, (yes by Miss I mean Paul), why don’t you pull up your skirt, grow a pair and go out and down one of them seals yourself. Aren’t you the Walrus?? Would you deny yourself the pleasure of your dinner?  Did you know that Walrus’ eat seals?

I am the eggman…I am the eggman….I am the Walrus….coo coo coochoo!!

Lowell Green To Be Roasted, Along With Eastern Ontario Beef

Well it seems the Island of Sanity will be having a Luau on April 20th celebrating the 50 years Lowell Green has been in the business.  The event will actually be a roast of the CFRA weekday morning host who tackles topics from the municipal level all the way up to the federal level with the zeal of men a third his age.

The event is actually a fund raiser and all proceeds of the $100 tickets will be used to provide the Ottawa Food Bank with a boatload of Eastern Ontario beef.

You can pick up tickets and find out more by calling 613-745-7001.

HSUS Claims Size Does Matter…But Is It All Just Bravado?

Tonight on Duffy a member (David Martosko), from Consumer Freedom alluded to a study they did of the restaurants that the Humane Society says have joined their boycott of Canadian seafood. They revealed some pretty interesting results.

They called the 200 + restaurants listed as boycotters and of the 87 they got a hold of, over 78% claimed they were either selling Canadian Seafood or never did to begin with.

The representative went on to say that no longer would organizations like the Humane Society be able to toss out numbers like they do without having an audit performed to confirm or deny their claims.

This is exactly the kind of checking the Canadian seal hunt needed. Nice job Consumer Freedom!!

Why Now?

I understand that 150 years ago unions did their part by equalizing the playing field and giving workers an advantage of numbers over the establishment or owners.  But in this day and age it always seems strikers hold people hostage in order to get their way.

The OPSEU strike of Ontario educators is a classic example of this.  The strike was started just before the school year ends for 150,000 college students.  This timing brings the issue to light but it doesn’t make any friends among the students or the tax payers out there.  The risk of losing the school year by students has repurcussions beyond just a repeat or extension into the summer.

  1. Students often are on 8 month sublet leases.  This puts many in the awkward position of having to extend their leases or find other accommodations.
  2. The reduction in student summer length limits the amount of time they can make money to help pay for their education.  This can dramatically affect a person on a limited income
  3. The loss of a school year for 150,000 is a bit economic bust too as it, in essence, took the student out of the tax paying pool of citizens for a whole year.
  4. How many of those 150,000 won’t even go back to complete their degrees if they can’t afford to repay for an extra year?  (I am not sure that they would lose the money, I have not seen any confirmation of what the financial hit would be or who would pay should a year need to be redone)

Why the teachers would not choose to strike a couple of weeks before the school year started is beyond me.  It would help save the students the risk of losing a year.  It would give them time to prepare for accommodations as needed when the school year starts (if it starts late) and it gives many of them the opportunity to extend their existing summer job to help pay for things when the year does eventually start.

Instead they try to stiff the taxpayer while OfficiallyScrewing 150,000 students.

I have never been pro union, but in this case the timing of the strike is what really gets my goat.

Government Daycare Advocates Are Hiding Something…

I have been a bit busy to read around but with the ongoing hype around a recent report on what mothers in Canada want, I always find Sara over at ChoiceForChildcare a good source. She has a great post outlining the public funding that was received by various lobby groups that promote public daycare.

It’s quite interesting to see how much we pay these groups to hit us up for our money.

Here’s a few

  • Child Care Advocacy Association of Canada
    Ottawa Ont — $204,526
  • Ontario Coalition for Better Child Care
    Toronto Ont — $110,000
  • International Child Care Canada Inc
    Mississauga Ont — $286,458
  • Alberta Centre for Child, Family & Community Research
    Alberta– $100,000
  • BC Aboriginal Child Care Society
    West Vancouver BC — $820,132

This is just a few from a list which totals almost $4.7M dollars. How’s that for buying access to your wallet?

The Quebec daycare system with 30 odd thousand on the waiting list that is so highly touted by the Liberals and NDP isn’t what we want. Is it? A month or so ago there was the story about the child left outside in the cold, asleep for hours. Then just the other day we have two more workers fired for leaving a child in the facility after they closed for the day and locked up. How would you like to be THAT mother showing up to pick up the child and finding the lights off and building closed.

Ontario Teachers, Do The Math

In relation to the OPSEU teacher’s strike, I heard a college professeur call Lowell Green today.  He mentioned some numbers that relate to his story.  Let me restate these (along with my assumptions)

  1. He has 18 hours of teaching time a week
  2. He has at least 1 hour of prep work for every 1 hour of teaching time (let’s assume 1.25)
  3. He has 32 weeks of teaching a year (i.e. 20 weeks of no classes)
  4. He makes $70,000 a year
  5. He does some prep work over the summer. (let’s assume 1 day a week, because after all it is summer)
  6. Let’s assume a veteran equivalent to 10 years in other industries and give our teacher 4 weeks of full paid vacation annually.  This would be complete down time with no prep work, no teaching, no marking, etc.

Now for Math 101 – Adding and multiplying
40.5 (x32 weeks)=1296 (the hours of teaching and prep for teaching)

8 (x16 weeks)=128 (the hours of work in off teaching weeks)

Total hours?  (1296+128)=1424

Now for Math 102 – Dividing and Crying
$70,000 / 1424 = $49.16 per hour worked  (note minimum wage in Ontario is currently $7.75/hr and moving to $8.00/hr on January 1st, 2007)
1424 / 48 weeks = 29.67 hours per week (not on vacation)

Now for Strike Assessment 101 – There is never any subtracting

And that, my friends, is Officially Screwed

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