Posting red text with actual results
For the record, I will say that my numbers are educated guesses based partly on the last election, partly on the tides of change happening in this election, partly on my desire to see a stable majority government in Canada, partly on my seat by seat analysis, partly on the pollsters data and finally to throw much of this out the window, partly on my decision to move a few blocks of seats out of sheer gut instinct.
i.e. to figure out how I got these numbers, you will likely yank your hair out for hours.
In any case here they are.
Nationally:
Conservatives – 170 166
New Democrats – 61 103
Liberals – 57 33
Bloc Quebecois – 19 4
Green Party – a big fat goose egg 1
Independent – 1 (Sorry Helena, it ain’t you) 0
Provincially:
Alberta:
Conservative – 28 27
All other parties – 0
NDP – 1
BC:
Conservative – 25 21
NDP – 8 12
Liberal – 3 2
All others – 0
Green Party – 1
Manitoba:
Conservative – 10 11
NDP – 4 2
All others – 0
Liberal – 1
New Brunswick:
Conservative – 8 8
Liberal – 1 1
NDP – 1 1
All others – 0
Newfoundland and Labrador
Liberal – 3 4
Conservative – 2 1
NDP – 2 2
All others – 0
Nova Scotia:
Liberal – 5 4
Conservative – 4 4
NDP – 2 3
All others – 0
Nunavut:
Conservative – 1 1All others – 0
Ontario:
Conservative – 63 73
Liberal – 27 11
NDP – 16 22
All others – 0
PEI:
Conservative – 2 (bubbye Wayne Easter) 1
Liberal – 2 3
All others – 0
Quebec:
NDP – 27 59
Bloc – 19 4
Conservative – 14 5
Liberal – 14 7
All others – 0
Saskatchewan:
Conservative – 12 13
Liberal – 1 1
NDP – 1 0
All others – 0
Western Arctic:
Conservative – 1 0
All others – 0
NDP – 1
Yukon:
Liberal – 1 0
All Others – 0
Conservative – 1