{"id":1927,"date":"2011-05-02T00:24:47","date_gmt":"2011-05-02T04:24:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/blog\/?p=1927"},"modified":"2011-05-19T17:17:49","modified_gmt":"2011-05-19T21:17:49","slug":"officiallyscrewed-com-41st-canadian-election-seat-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/?p=1927","title":{"rendered":"OfficiallyScrewed.com 41st Canadian Election Seat Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

Posting red text with actual results<\/addendum><\/p>\n

For the record, I will say that my numbers are educated guesses based partly on the last election, partly on the tides of change happening in this election, partly on my desire to see a stable majority government in Canada, partly on my seat by seat analysis, partly on the pollsters data and finally to throw much of this out the window, partly on my decision to move a few blocks of seats out of sheer gut instinct.<\/p>\n

i.e. to figure out how I got these numbers, you will likely yank your hair out for hours.<\/p>\n

In any case here they are.<\/p>\n

Nationally:
\nConservatives – 170 166<\/font color=\"black\">
\nNew Democrats – 61 103<\/font color=\"black\">
\nLiberals – 57 33<\/font color=\"black\">
\nBloc Quebecois – 19 4<\/font color=\"black\">
\nGreen Party – a big fat goose egg 1<\/font color=\"black\">
\nIndependent – 1 (Sorry Helena, it ain’t you) 0<\/font color=\"black\"><\/p>\n

Provincially:
\n Alberta:
\n Conservative – 28 27<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All other parties – 0
\n NDP – 1<\/font color=\"black\"><\/p>\n

BC:
\n Conservative – 25 21<\/font color=\"black\">
\n NDP – 8 12<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Liberal – 3 2<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0
\n Green Party – 1<\/font color=\"black\"><\/p>\n

Manitoba:
\n Conservative – 10 11<\/font color=\"black\">
\n NDP – 4 2<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0
\n Liberal – 1<\/font color=\"black\"><\/p>\n

New Brunswick:
\n Conservative – 8 8<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Liberal – 1 1<\/font color=\"black\">
\n NDP – 1 1<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0<\/p>\n

Newfoundland and Labrador
\n Liberal – 3 4<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Conservative – 2 1<\/font color=\"black\">
\n NDP – 2 2<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0<\/p>\n

Nova Scotia:
\n Liberal – 5 4<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Conservative – 4 4<\/font color=\"black\">
\n NDP – 2 3<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0<\/p>\n

Nunavut:
\n Conservative – 1 1<\/font color=\"black\">All others – 0<\/p>\n

Ontario:
\n Conservative – 63 73<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Liberal – 27 11<\/font color=\"black\">
\n NDP – 16 22<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0<\/p>\n

PEI:
\n Conservative – 2 (bubbye Wayne Easter) 1<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Liberal – 2 3<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0<\/p>\n

Quebec:
\n NDP – 27 59<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Bloc – 19 4<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Conservative – 14 5<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Liberal – 14 7<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0<\/p>\n

Saskatchewan:
\n Conservative – 12 13<\/font color=\"black\">
\n Liberal – 1 1<\/font color=\"black\">
\n NDP – 1 0<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0<\/p>\n

Western Arctic:
\n Conservative – 1 0<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All others – 0
\n NDP – 1<\/font color=\"black\"><\/p>\n

Yukon:
\n Liberal – 1 0<\/font color=\"black\">
\n All Others – 0
\n Conservative – 1<\/font color=\"black\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Posting red text with actual results For the record, I will say that my numbers are educated guesses based partly on the last election, partly on the tides of change happening in this election, partly on my desire to see a stable majority government in Canada, partly on my seat by seat analysis, partly on […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16,52,58],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","category-politics-federal","category-predictable"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1927","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1927"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1927\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1927"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1927"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officiallyscrewed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1927"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}